Every home buyer or seller is probably wondering what the Federal Reserve will do for the rest of the year and into next year.

Buyers are asking themselves, 'Should I buy now or wait for rates to drop further?'

Sellers are considering, 'Should I sell now or wait, so I don’t leave money on the table?'

One of the best tools to help with this decision-making is the CME FedWatch Tool.

Here’s what the CME FedWatch Tool does:

  • Predicts Rate Hikes or Cuts: It offers probabilities for whether the Fed will raise, cut, or maintain the current interest rate during its next meeting.

  • Market Sentiment: It shows how the market is pricing in the likelihood of rate changes, providing insights into expectations.

  • Updated in Real-Time: As market conditions shift, the tool updates its probability estimates in real-time.

The current rate(benchmark rate) is 4.75%–5.00%.

The chances the feds lowering the rate by a quarter percentage point is 50%.

And them doing a half percentage is 49%.

This indicates that market sentiment is leaning toward the Federal Reserve reducing rates by another 50 basis points, making this scenario increasingly likely.

We could be looking at another 0.50% rate cut.

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